Situational Total Rout NBA 10*
(NBA) Boston vs. Indiana,
Total: 223.00 | -110.00 Under
Result: Win
ASA top play on UNDER 222.5 Boston Celtics at Indiana Pacers, 8 PM ET - The first two games of this series flew over the numbers with 234-points (in regulation time) and 236 in Game 2. The third game in Indianapolis crept Over the number late with 225 total points. That game had a fairly low possession rate with 83 field goal attempts for Boston and 91 for Indiana. The Pacers got two huge unexpected scoring efforts from Nembhard and McConnell who scored 32 and 23 points respectively. Those two players average under 11PPG on the season so it’s highly unlikely they will get those types of numbers against a Boston defense that will adjust. What’s surprising in this series is that the Pacers have shot 51% or better in all 3 games against this Celtics defense that is 2nd in the NBA in opponents FG%. Boston had the 5th best defensive efficiency rating on the road this season allowing 1.136-points per possession. They also slowed their pace considerably when on the road with the 5th fewest possessions per game when they were the visitor. Indiana is also playing much slower at home in the postseason with an average of 92.72 possessions per game compared to their regular season average of 102.29. With or without Haliburton we like a lower scoring game here. We doubt the role players for the Pacers can duplicate the scoring output in Game 4 as they did in Game 3 and if Haliburton can’t go again, Indiana will have their offensive struggles. Bet Under.