WNBA Top Game Best Bet
(WNBA) Chicago vs. Dallas,
Total: 167.00 | -107.00 Over
Result: Loss
ASA top play on 10* OVER 167 Chicago Sky at Dallas Wings, 8 PM ET - We are going to see a higher scoring game here between the Sky and Wings and like an Over wager on this WNBA game. These same two teams just met the other night on this floor and cashed an Over ticket for us when they combined for 166 total points. The O/U number on that game was 161.5 at closing so the oddsmaker have adjusted. But have they adjusted enough? Not according to our numbers. In the game on Wednesday night the Sky had a poor shooting night at 39% overall and made just 5 of 17 3-pointers. They did however attempt 74 field goals which is well over the league average of 68.3 a year ago. Dallas shot 45% as a team and 33% from Deep. They attempted 82 field goals so both teams were willing and able to get shots up. The Sky were 3rd in EFG% a year ago so we are betting they make more shots on Saturday. Not to mention, Dallas was a lower tier defensive net rating team last season. This was a very high scoring series a year ago with the two teams combining for 200, 193 and 182 total points in the three meetings. We know for sure the Wings want to get out in transition and push tempo as they averaged 98.21 possessions per game last season, 3rd most in the WNBA. Chicago was slower last season, ranking 8th in pace of play with 96.18 possessions per game. Both of these teams were below average in defensive net rating a season ago with the Sky at 103.5, the Wings right below them at 103.5. Dallas had the 3rd best offensive net rating a year ago, had the 3rd highest scoring average at 87.9PPG, but also gave up 84.9PPG, 9th most. We are betting the tempo is fast in this one and we easily get enough FG attempts to cash an Over!