Run Line Blowout MLB
(MLB) Miami vs. LA Dodgers,
Point Spread: -1.50 | -143.00 LA Dodgers (Home)
Result: Win
#910 ASA PLAY ON Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 on the Run Line (-145) over Miami Marlins, Tuesday at 10:10 PM ET - Dodgers are a 3 to 1 favorite on the money line but we get value by utilizing the run line.  The Dodgers have won 5 straight games and 12 of 14 games and 10 of those 12 wins were by 2+ runs.  LA has an average margin of victory of 4 runs in their 2 dozen wins this season!  The Dodgers have averaged 5.5 runs per game this season and are one of the top hitting teams in the majors!  The Marlins are one of the worst hitting teams in the league and they have been particularly bad under the lights.  In night games, Miami is scoring just 2.5 runs per game and their slugging percentage (yes, SLUGGING percentage) is only .275 in night games this season!  Compare that to a Dodgers team that has a slugging percentage of .487 and batting average of .292 under the lights this season!  HUGE difference and, speaking of huge variances, the Marlins have a weak bullpen while that is a strength of the Dodgers.  Also, LA is starting Yoshinobu Yamamoto and he is 3-1 with a 2.91 ERA this season.  The Marlins are starting Edward Cabrera and, though he gets a lot of strikeouts, he also gives up too many mistake pitches too.  That is why the Miami right-hander has been charged with 12 earned runs in 13 innings over his last 3 outings.  Big edges in this one and a home blowout is our call.  We think we're getting some nice value in laying -1.5 runs in this one and getting a price in the -145 range with the Dodgers.  Great spot to grab the solid value with the much stronger team at a fair price and 1.5 runs!  Lay it!