#953/954 ASA PLAY ON Over 8 Runs – Arizona Diamondbacks at San Francisco Giants, Thursday at 9:45 PM ET - Expected starters are Logan Webb for the Giants and Ryne Nelson for the Diamondbacks.  Nelson has given up 17 hits in his 13.2 innings on the mound this season.  Also he allowed 2 homers in his only road start this season.  Webb also has been hit quite hard with 23 hits in 17.2 innings spanning his last 3 starts.  Webb gave up 10 hits in 7 innings in his only home start this season and he was fortunate to escape some jams.  The Diamondbacks bullpen has a 2-6 record with a 4.08 ERA this season.  The Giants bullpen has a 5.05 ERA this season.  Arizona has only 3 saves in 8 save opportunities.  We get a low total here because this is more of a pitchers park and the Giants have not been knocking the cover off the ball this season.  However, this total is set too low per our computer math model and we step in and take advantage.  The Diamondbacks have scored at least 5 runs, not including extra innings runs, in 4 of their 6 road games this season.  Arizona also scored at least 4 runs in 4 of the 6 games on the 6-game homestand that followed that road trip.  If this gets to 4-4 then it is at least a 5-4 final and we like the Giants to match Arizona run for run in this one.  SF did wrap up their 6-game trip winning 3 of the last 5 and scoring an average of 5 runs in the final 5 games.  They have been hitting a little better over their last 7 games overall, the first of those at home, and now it continues as they are back home again and in a favorable match-up.  Over is the call in this one Thursday night.