#105 ASA PLAY ON 8* Detroit Lions +10 over Buffalo Bills, Sunday at 12:30 PM ET - This line is too high in our opinion. Buffalo has had plenty of distractions due to the big winter storm that dropped 6 feet of snow in their city. They were able to get out last weekend and play the Browns here in Detroit. Instead of staying in Detroit on a short week to get ready for this game, the Bills went back home and many will be dealing with distraction once again for a few days before heading back to Michigan. Not a great situation for Buffalo in our opinion and they would have been better off just staying and focusing fully on the game. On top of that, the Bills simply haven’t been playing all that well. They have failed to cover 3 of their last 4 games and their lone ATS win during that stretch was by a half point. They’ve been outgained in total yardage as well over their last 4 games combined vs Green Bay, NY Jets, Minnesota, and Cleveland. Over their last 8 games they’ve only won 1 by more than 10 points and that was vs Pittsburgh. The Lions, on the other hand, have played 4 solid games in a row winning 3 of those games. Their only loss during that stretch was at home vs Miami 31-27 as a 3.5 point dog. Now they are getting 10 from Buffalo? Detroit has 6 losses on the year and 4 of those have come by 4 points or less. The Bills are also a bit banged up with QB Allen and his elbow, along with 3 defensive starters and an offensive line starter (center) not practicing this week. Underdogs have been a big money maker this season in the NFL, especially dogs of 4 or more points with a 51-28 ATS record. Here we have a double digit home dog, that can score points (8th in the NFL in PPG), catching the road team in a tough spot. We like Detroit on Thanksgiving Day.