#945/946 ASA PLAY ON Under 6 Runs – Tampa Bay @ Cleveland, Friday at 12:05 PM ET - These 2 teams are very similar in that they are pitching and defense first and neither offense has much in terms of power numbers. They have the 2 lowest team ERA’s and they have hit the fewest HR’s of all the teams in the wild card round. These 2 offenses rank 26th and 29th in in HR’s per game and 21st and 25th in slugging percentage. With cold temps on Cleveland (low 50’s) and the wind blowing straight in at 15 MPH, we don’t expect any long balls in this one which should limit scoring. These two met 6 times this year, including 3 times last week, and averaged just 6.6 total RPG. To this total is set basically right at that number but each team has their top starting pitcher on the mound which tells us this number should be set lower. Cleveland’s starter Shane Bieber was very strong this season especially down the stretch allowing just 1.7 ER’s per game over his last 10 starts (Average of 6.1 IP per start). He allowed just 0.8 HR’s per 9 innings this season and as we mentioned with TB’s lack of power, this will be a station to station game. The Rays McClanahan’s numbers aren’t as solid in the 2nd half of the season but he still allowed just 2 ER’s or fewer in 5 of his last 6 starts. The lefty should have success vs a Cleveland offense who’s top hitters are left handed. The Guardians ranked 29th in MLB in OPS vs southpaws and 28th in slugging percentage. Both bullpens are very good ranking 5th and 7th in MLB in ERA and 3rd and 6th in WHIP. This shapes up to be a 2-1 or 3-2 type game in our opinion and we’ll grab the Under.