#806 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Utah State -2 over Colorado State, Saturday at 10:30 PM ET - This line speaks volumes in our opinion. Looks to good to be true if you like Colorado State in this one. The team who sits at 22-4 and 12-4 in the Mountain West is an underdog to the team whose record is 16-13 overall and just 7-9 in conference play. There is a reason USU is favored here. They are better than their overall record. CSU has a great offense ranking 19th nationally in efficiency. Utah State is right there with the Rams ranking 35th nationally in offensive efficiency. USU is the better defense allowing 0.98 PPP in MWC play while Colorado State allows 1.01. Despite their record disparity, Utah State actually has a better points per possession differential in conference play at +6.4 to CSU’s +6.1. The Aggies played a few key conference games without starting guards Jones & Rock-Lytle losing to Wyoming, Boise State, and Fresno State when one or both were out. They are back and full strength. USU returned a key reserve as Brock Miller vs New Mexico on Tuesday after he missed all games since early January. In their first meeting in mid January the Aggies took CSU to the wire on the road losing 77-72. They made just 4 three pointers in that game with CSU making 10 which was the difference in a tight game. We look for them to shoot much better in their home finale – 48% overall and 35% from 3 at home – on Senior night. Utah State gets the win here.