ASA top play on 10* UNDER 227.5 Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets, 7:10 PM ET - Miami is the alpha team in this matchup, and they’ll dictate tempo in Charlotte. The Heat are the 2nd slowest paced team in the NBA, behind only the Knicks when it comes to possessions per game. Charlotte is the 2nd fastest for the season but in their last five games they’ve slowed, and their offensive efficiency has dipped. Miami is 5th in points allowed per game, giving up just 104.8PPG behind the 8th best field goal percentage defense. The Heat are 8th in defensive efficiency allowing1.087-points per possession. At first glance, the Heat have played OVER in 7 of their last eight games but 7 of those eight games finished with less than 226 points (in regulation). Miami just played the Spurs, a very similar team to the Hornets and that game finished with 207 total points. Charlotte has been a high scoring team all season long, but they haven’t topped 220 total points in three straight games and 7 of their last ten. These teams have met once this season and that game finished with 213 total points. We like UNDER here.