#311/312 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Under 52.5 Points – Appalachian State vs UL Lafayette, Saturday at 3:30 PM ET - In this match up we have the 2 best defenses in the Sun Belt (#1 & #2 in total defense and scoring defense) squaring off. These two met earlier this year and ULL won the game 41-13 which was by far the worst performance by the App State defense this year. They will be motivated for this one. In that game the teams combined for only 665 total yards and ULL had 4 explosive plays that totaled 139 of those yards. ULL also scored 4 TD’s on drives of 39 yards or less after Mountaineer turnovers. There were 73 rushing attempts and just 51 pass attempts in that game. Rushing the ball eats clock as we know and we expect much more of the same in this game. ASU averages 41 carries per game and ULL averages 40 per game. Since that loss App St has played 6 games and allowed just 14 PPG and 242 YPG. If you subtract their season opener vs Texas in which the ULL defense allowed 38 points, the Cajun defense has allowed an average of just 16.7 PPG and nobody has topped 27 points on this team. Both teams are slower paced ranking 70th or lower nationally so we don’t foresee a lot of offensive possessions. With ASU favored by 3 the projected final here is around 28-25. We don’t project either team getting to those numbers and we like the UNDER.