#151 ASA PLAY ON 8* Nevada +5 over Boise State, Saturday at 3:30 PM ET - We love this spot for Nevada. They had last week off to get ready for this game and they are coming off a loss 2 weeks ago @ Kansas State. In that game Nevada was actually favored by 1.5 to 2 points on the road and they are now getting nearly a full TD @ Boise State, a team we have power rated lower than KSU. Boise State just isn’t the program they once were. They are 2-2 on the season and have been outgained in 3 of their 4 games this year. The only team they outgained was UTEP and that final score was very misleading as the Miners turned the ball over SIX times in that game. For the season the Broncos are -50 YPG and -0.4 YPP. Last week they beat Utah State 27-3 but that was another misleading final score as the Aggies outgained Boise on both a YPG and YPP basis but had 3 turnovers, missed 2 FG’s and were shut out on downs twice. Nevada’s loss 2 weeks ago @ Kansas State was a bit deceiving as well. The yardage was near even in the game and KSU scored 2 TD’s in the final 6 minutes of the game. This Nevada team did win @ Cal this season as an underdog. They are +95 YPG on the season and +1.4 YPP and that’s vs a schedule that has included 2 Power 5 teams already. The Wolfpack have one of the top QB’s in the nation, Carson Strong, who has completed 68% of his passes for nearly 1,000 yards in 3 games. He’s thrown for over 6,000 yards and 45 TD’s in his career. The best QB Boise has played so far this season is UCF’s Gabriel and hit lit them up for 318 yards passing, 4 TD’s while leading his team to nearly 600 total yards. Strong will have a big day on Saturday. Nevada has covered 7 straight games as an underdog and we feel the better team is getting points in the much better situation. Take Nevada.