ASA NFL TOP PLAY ON 10* Under 46 Points – Jacksonville vs Cincinnati, Thursday at 8 PM ET - Cincinnati is 2-1 on the season and their defense is definitely flying under the radar. They rank 4th in the NFL in YPP allowed and 4th in yards per pass attempt allowed. The Bengals have allowed 46 offensive points in 3 games (minus opponents defensive or special teams scores) which is just 15.3 PPG. We expect them to limit a Jacksonville offense that is still working through their new system on that side of the ball. The Jags have scored just 6 offensive TD’s in 3 games and 3 of those came in their opener vs Houston. Last week the Jags vs Cards game totaled 51 points but 14 of those came on non-offensive TD’s so really just 36 points for the offenses. The week before vs Denver they totaled 36 points but that included a 102 yard kickoff return for Jacksonville so they scored just 29 offensive points combined. Both offenses rank 19th or lower in the league in YPP gained. They are ranked 25th (Bengals) and 31st (Jags) in 3rd down conversion percentage so keeping drives alive here will be tough. Cincy’s offense is slow paced (30th in the NFL) and they love to run the ball (almost 49% of the time – 4th in the NFL) which will eat clock. Jacksonville is faster paced yet they only run 61 plays per game which ranks them 22nd in the NFL. The projected score here is in the range of Cincinnati 27, Jacksonville 20 and we don’t see either team getting to those numbers. Take the UNDER on Thursday Night.