#147/148 ASA TOP PLAY ON 9* Under 56 Points – Kent State vs Iowa, Saturday at 3:30 PM ET - Our number has this total set at 51 so definitely value on the Under. Iowa defense is outstanding. They’ve allowed 23 points total this season and that was vs Indiana & Iowa State, two very solid Power 5 offensive teams. Last week the Hawkeyes held what we consider one of the better offensive teams in college football, Iowa State, to just 17 points in 4.7 YPP. Dating back to last year over their last 8 games, the Hawkeye defense has allowed just 13 PPG on 4.4 YPP. In their last 5 games vs the MAC conference, the Iowa defense has allowed an average of 10 PPG. Kent is off a high scoring win vs FCS VMI, however their lone game vs a Power 5 team this year they scored 10 points vs Texas A&M. Kent also loves to run the ball which eats clock. They ran it 45 times vs A&M and last year they finished 3rd nationally with 50 rush attempts per game. Here’s the problem. It’s really tough to run on Iowa. They have allowed 77 and 87 yards rushing the first two games and those, as we mentioned, we vs solid Power 5 offensive teams. Kent will have a tough time running the ball here. Iowa is a slow paced team. They prefer taking their time in the huddle which they will continue here. Their offense has been fairly pedestrian this year. They’ve put up only 476 total yards in 2 games. They have scored 61 total points but 3 of their TD’s have come from the defense and they’ve only had 4 TD’s this year from their offense. Since the start of last season Iowa has had a grand total of ONE game where they totaled more than 56 points. We anticipate Iowa getting ahead here and then slowing way down offensively to put it away in the 2nd half. That means Kent won’t have many chances and scoring vs this defense will be very tough when the do. Even if Iowa scores 40, which we don’t think they will, Kent would need to get to 17 to push this over the total. We look for a 35-14 type score keeping this UNDER the total.