#952 ASA PLAY ON 8* Cincinnati Reds -1.5 +105 on Run Line over St Louis Cardinals, Monday at 6:40 PM ET - Jon Lester has a decent ERA last 3 starts but has had to work out of a lot of jams. The fact is he is very hittable and the lefty is 1-4 with a 6.15 ERA on the road this season. The Reds counter with Luis Castillo and he has been fantastic this summer. After a very rough May, Castillo has been back to his typical dominating form. Since June 1st, Castillo has an impressive 2.74 ERA. The Cardinals are off a loss at Pittsburgh and have now lost 6 of last 7 games against right-handed starters. The Reds are off a loss at Miami yesterday but are 36-22 in divisional games this season and happy to be back home where they have won 10 of last 12 games! The Cardinals are 21-34 this season in games against teams with a winning record. 51 of the Reds 71 victories have been by 2+ runs this season while 47 of the Cardinals 63 losses have been by 2+ runs this season. Cincinnati is set up well for a big home blowout win here and Castillo should dominate. Adding to the value here is the fact that our play on team is available in a +105 price range on the run line. Take Cincinnati Reds -1.5 on the run line.