#913/914 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Over 9.5 Runs – New York Yankees @ Boston Red Sox, Thursday at 7:10 PM ET – The most recent game between these teams went over the total and then they each had separate 2-game sets in which both games went over the total and now these bitter rivals meet again. Yankees confidence is growing with 4 straight wins plus New York has averaged scoring 7 runs per game in the last 3 victories. The Red Sox love hitting at home and enter this game swinging hot bats with 20 runs scored in their 2-game set with the Blue Jays. Boston will hit Jordan Montgomery better than they did in the Bronx. Montgomery held them to 3 earned runs in that one but now is on the road where he has a 5.32 ERA this season. Last season he was winless in his 4 road starts with a 7.27 ERA so this is nothing new for Montgomery. He has proven to struggle away from the Bronx. Fenway Park is not an easy place to pitch and Red Sox righty Tanner Houck has struggled in his limited action here thus far. Houck has allowed 14 hits in his 10 and 1 / 3 innings and certainly could be carrying much higher than the 4.35 ERA he has at Fenway Park this season. With the Yankees bats hot, this will be a tough start for Houck. The Red Sox bats will give Montgomery trouble too as he has a 5.91 ERA in his last 2 starts at Fenway Park. Boston averaged 6 runs a game in winning the first 7 meetings between these teams this season. Now the Yankees have taken 2 straight between the teams and are a confident group right now but Boston is tough at home and will resume the hot hitting that helped lead the way to a 7-0 run in games between these teams to start the season series. This total is in the 9.5 range and our computer math model shows this one getting into double digits in runs scored with each club enjoying success at the plate and having a solid shot of getting to 5 runs apiece which, of course, would mean at least 11 runs (6-5 final at a minimum) in this one. Bet Over