#979/980 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Under 9.5 Runs – Cincinnati Reds @ Kansas City Royals, Tuesday at 8:10 PM ET – The under is perfect in the last 4 starts Luis Castillo has made. The Reds right-hander may not have his usual full-season numbers you would expect but he is certainly back in top form. Castillo has a 1.71 ERA in his last 4 starts and should dominate this struggling Royals team. Kansas City has lost 11 of 13 games and scored an average of 2.6 runs in the 11 losses. The Reds also have not been a powerhouse at the plate recently. Cincinnati has seen the under cash in 10 of 12 games! Despite an overall winning run, Cincinnati had only 1 big game at the plate in those dozen games. Other than that, the Reds scored an average of 3.5 runs per game in the other 11 games. Cincinnati's pitching has been great with only 3.2 runs allowed per game last dozen games. But this Cincinnati team has struggled to hit lefties this season and rank near the bottom of the majors in categories in terms of hitting southpaws. That is why we expect Kris Bubic to enjoy success. He has endured a very rough stretch on the road but has been a completely different pitcher at home where the Royals have gone 3-0 in his starts, he has allowed only 1 homer, and he has compiled a 2.94 ERA. Look for the 5th under in the last 6 meetings between these teams with a low-scoring battle this evening at Kauffman Stadium. Per our computer math model, this game lands around 7 to 8 runs and even if it reaches 9 that is still a winning ticket based on the 9.5 that is posted at most books as of late morning Tuesday. We like the odds being in our favor for a well-pitched affair in this one! Bet the UNDER