#11/12 ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* Over 5 Goals - Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Islanders, Tuesday at 8:00 PM ET – The Lightning lost Game 1 on home ice by a 2-1 count. The last 4 times that Tampa Bay has entered a game off a loss they have gone a perfect 4-0. Of course that is a big part of the reason that TB is a 2 to 1 money line favorite in this game. That being said, where we see the value here is with the total. The Islanders looked very strong in Game 1 and had plenty of good quality chances to score much more than the 2 goals they ended up with. New York should again enjoy success as they were creating great chances in Game 1 but the difference here in Game 2 will be a much more aggressive approach in the offensive zone from Tampa Bay. We mentioned the 4-0 run above when TB is in this situation (off a loss) and the Lightning have scored an average of 5.25 goals in those 4 victories. In fact they scored at least 4 goals all 4 times. That being said, and with this total sitting at 5 goals, it comes as no surprise that our computer math model is calling for a game in the 6 to 7 goal range here. 3 of those 4 TB victories when off a loss resulted in an easy over and this one should as well. The Islanders are on a roll and playing with a lot of confidence as they have won 7 of 9 games. New York, in its last 10 games, has scored an average of 3.8 goals per game! As you can see, plenty of reasons to expect good goal-scoring from both clubs in this one! Take the OVER here