#979 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Philadelphia Phillies -137 over Toronto Blue Jays, Saturday at 7:37 PM ET - Great line value spot here with Aaron Nola and the Phillies. Nola has lesser numbers in recent starts but is coming off a game in which he lasted a career-low 58 pitches. Coming off a tough start like that, there is no doubt that Nola is highly motivated to get back on track here and he faces a Blue Jays lineup that is not familiar with him. The result is excellent line value here as this line has dropped from the -150 range to the -135 range and this is essentially ignoring the fact that the Phillies have a big pitching edge here. Nola is considered the Phillies ace and Toronto is countering with a guy that is their #5 in the rotation and also very likely to soon be losing his rotation spot. Anthony Kay has a 6.45 ERA in his career and is winless in his 3 appearances (2 starts) this season and has a 10.24 ERA with opponents hitting .350 against him. The Phillies enter this game having won 8 of 11 games and the Jays are 0-3 this season in games in which Kay has pitched. With yesterday's Philadelphia win to open up the series, the road team has now prevailed in 7 of Toronto's last 9 games. We fully expect that road team trend to continue here behind a strong bounce back start from Nola and more troubles for Kay! This one will be all Phillies per our computer math model. We will grab the road team at a reasonable price on the money line in this one and bet PHILADELPHIA -137