ASA top play 10* on OVER 8.5 Atlanta Braves @ Washington Nationals, 7:05 PM ET - The Nationals lead the majors with a .305 batting average against left-handed pitchers. Braves southpaw Max Fried gets the start here as he returns from a hamstring injury. Fried is having a rough season thus far and that includes an ugly start at Washington 4 weeks ago. In that outing he was also opposed by the Nationals Erick Fedde and both pitchers got hit hard. We expect similar results here. Not only are the Nats pounding southpaws this season, the last two times Fried has pitched at Nationals Park he has allowed 5 earned runs in each start even though he lasted just 2 and 2 and 1 / 3 innings, respectively, in those two starts. Fedde has been pitching better since struggling against the Braves 4 weeks ago but Atlanta has been a nemesis of his. Fedde is winless in 4 career starts against the Braves and has a 12.85 ERA in those outings. The O/U is a perfect 4-0 in those outings. Indeed, when Fedde starts against Atlanta there has never been an under. We do not see that changing here. Fedde is off a quality start in his most recent outing but that was his first quality start (6 or more innings, 3 or less earned runs) of the season. The Braves have a .273 batting average and .514 slugging percentage in night games this season. Both of those marks lead the majors! Considering that plus the Nationals being #1 in the majors for batting average against lefties and you can see why this one should be another high-scoring match-up just like the first one between these starting pitchers this season. Though Washington's bullpen has been solid, too many innings may be expected of them here as Fedde prone to early exits when facing the Braves. As for the Atlanta bullpen, the relievers have struggled this season on the road in particular and also the Braves pen has a 6.80 ERA last 5 games. We look for plenty of runs from both sides in this one! Bet Over