ASA top play on 10* OVER: Houston Astros @ Seattle Mariners, 4:10 PM ET - Entering Saturday's match-up between these teams, each of the Mariners last 3 home games were overs and the Astros were on an overall 3-0 run to the over. Houston, entering Saturday's game, had allowed 6 or more runs in 6 straight games! Seattle, entering the Saturday match-up, had allowed 6.3 runs per game in home games this season. The point is, regardless of the outcome of Saturday night's game, both teams are trending the way we would like to see for an over. What makes this one absolutely a must play for us is the pitching match-up as both of these starters have been struggling. Jake Odorizzi struggled in spring training and then got hammered in his only regular season start thus far as the Tigers hit him hard including 3 homers in just 3 and 1 / 3 innings. Odorizzi had a 6.59 ERA in limited action, 4 starts, last season and just does not seem to have his confidence on the mound like we saw in 2019 and prior seasons. He is not the same pitcher he was. Speaking of struggling, Nick Margevicius gets the start for the Mariners here. The Seattle southpaw is 4-10 with a 5.94 ERA at the MLB level and is already struggling (7.04 ERA) this season in his 3 games (1 start). Houston has been a top 5 hitting team this season for batting average and will get to Margevicius early and often. The Mariners have been a top 5 hitting team in day games for batting average this season and, again, Odorizzi continues to be very hittable as we noted above. This one has the makings of plenty of runs early and the bullpens have been decent early this season but were not projected to be a strength for either one of these teams coming into the season. There will be a regression to the mean in that regard. Look for plenty of runs from both sides in this one! Bet Over