#311/312 ASA PLAY ON 8* Green Bay -3.5 over Tampa Bay, Sunday at 3 PM ET - Just too many positives going for GB here to even consider Tampa in this game. The Packers are rested and healthy with no key players missing practice this week. They are set to avenge by far their worst performance of the year @ TB, a 38-10 loss. Rodgers had one of his worst EVER performances and the OLine struggled as Tampa had GB under constant pressure. Since that game, GB’s offensive line has played much better and allowed only 1 hit on Rodgers last week facing a very good Rams defense. If they give him time like last week, we expect a fairly easy win for the Packers. Tampa is in a rough spot. While GB had a bye 2 weeks ago and then played a home game, the Bucs are on the road for their 3rd straight playoff game. Looking back even further, this is their 5th road game in 6 weeks! Lastly, the Packers played on Saturday last week, while Tampa played the late game on Sunday giving Green Bay a full extra day. Historically, teams that are playing their 3rd straight road game in the playoffs, meaning they won on the road in the wildcard round and the divisional round, are just 4-14 SU & 5-13 ATS in the championship round. It’s just a very tough situation to be successful in. Last week the Packers just dominated a very good Rams team. They rushed for 188 yards and outgained LA by nearly 200 yards and 2.0 YPP. We could argue the score could have been worse than 32-18. Tampa, on the other hand, was extremely fortunate. They were outgained on a YPP basis in their 30-20 win @ New Orleans but they were gifted 4 turnovers by the Saints. Three of those turnovers led to TD drives of 3 yards, 20 yards, and 40 yards. In the wildcard round they faced the weakest team in the playoffs this year beating Washington 31-23. Washington was forced to start Heinecke at QB, his first career start, with Alex Smith unavailable and despite that they had the ball in TB territory late with a shot to score a tie the game. 13 of Green Bay’s 14 wins this year have come by at least a TD and if they can put pressure on Brady (only completes 43% of his passes when pressured) they could walk away with this one. The Packers are peaking on BOTH sides of the ball at the right time. Lastly, since 1980 home teams favored by less than 8 points in the championship round are 32-12 SU and 29-15 ATS. We like Green Bay by more than a TD in this one.