#410 ASA CFB PLAY ON 8* Toledo -11 over Central Michigan, Saturday at 3 PM ET - These two have the same 3-2 records, but Toledo is the much better team. The Rockets might just be the best overall team in the MAC this season. They rank 1st in the conference in total defense and 2nd in total offense. CMU ranks 9th in total defense and 6th in total offense. These two teams have each played 5 games on the year and 4 of those game vs common opponents. Because of that, the stats for each team need to be compared. Toledo has a +13 PPG differential, a +153 YPG differential and a +1.7 YPP differential on the season. CMU has a +1.5 PPG, a -3 YPG differential and -0.1 YPP differential on the season. If we break down the total yardage in just their 4 common opponents (Northern Illinois, Western Michigan, Ball State, and Eastern Michigan), Toledo has outgained those opponents by +505 total yards while CMU has been outgained by -96 total yards. Toledo, despite their 2 losses (both by 3 points), has outgained every opponent they’ve played this season. They also have the best point differential in the MAC West. The Rockets only 2 losses came by 3 points vs Ball St & Western Michigan who sit tied for first place in the MAC West. Again, Toledo outplayed both of them on the stat sheet. Speaking of Ball State, Central Michigan played the Cards last Saturday and got thumped 45-20 getting outgained by 177 yards. The Chips had to go with their back up QB Brock (threw 2 interceptions) and he will get the go again here as the starter is banged up and will only be used in an emergency situation. Toledo will also be using their back up QB here, Carter Bradley, however he has plenty of experience playing in multiple games last season. He looked great last week throwing for 432 yards and 3 TD’s in the Rockets 41-24 win @ Northern Illinois. Extra motivation here for Toledo as well as they were walloped 49-7 in last year’s season finale @ Central Michigan. The favorite has covered 11 straight in this series and Toledo is 6-0 ATS the last 6 times they’ve faced CMU here at home.