ASA free college pick Dec 2nd
(NCAAB) San Francisco vs. Nevada,
Point Spread: -3.00 | -110.00 Nevada (Home)
Result: Loss
#702 ASA PLAY ON Nevada -3 over San Francisco, Wednesday at 9:00 PM ET



This is a terrible spot for San Francisco. They just played 4 games in 5 days in the east coast in Connecticut. Now they have to travel back to the west coast to face a Nevada team that has been at home since last Friday. San Fran played games last Wednesday, Thursday, Friday, and then again on Sunday so they will be playing their 5th game in 8 days here. The Dons were 2-2 on their east coast trip but this line is sitting lower than it should be in our opinion because one of their wins was vs Virginia. They beat the Cavs 61-60 using an 8-0 run in the final 2:00 minutes. They caught UVA on a poor shooting night as they hit only 3 of 12 from beyond the arc (25%). That was the difference in the game as San Francisco mad 13 three pointers. We feel both results were aberrations as SF is not a great 3-point shooting team hitting only 33% on the year. Tonight they face a Nevada team that is 3-0 on the season including a solid win @ Nebraska last Thursday. They backed that up with a 12-point win at home vs Pacific team that finished 2 games ahead of San Francisco in the WCC last season. Nevada was favored by 5.5 in their game with Pacific and now just 2 facing San Francisco who is in a much worse situational spot than Pacific was when they faced the Wolfpack on Sunday. HC Steve Alford has Nevada playing terrific defense this year as they’ve held their 3 opponents (North Dakota St, Nebraska, and Pacific) to 48, 66, and 58 points respectively. They limit their opponents to only 0.94 PPP and their eFG% defense ranks 5th nationally. We also don’t anticipate SF going wild from 3-point range as they did vs UVA as Nevada allows only 24% from deep. Tired legs vs a top notch defense usually doesn’t equal success. We like Nevada in this game.