#263/264 ASA PLAY ON 8* Over 52 Points – LA Chargers @ Buffalo, Sunday at 1:00 PM ET - The Chargers currently have the 4th ranked total offense in the NFL. That’s not a good sign for Buffalo’s defense. In fact the Bills have already faced 4 top 5 total offenses this year and in those games they given up an average of 31 PPG and 455 YPG. LA’s defense has been outright poor as of late allowing 28, 29, 31, 31, 29, 30, and 38 points over their last 7 games. What’s worse is 4 of those games were vs the Jets, Broncos, Jaguars, and Dolphins who all rank 23rd or lower in total offense. The Bills offense was playing outstanding early in the season but hit a lull about a month ago. They’ve gotten back on track scoring 24, 44, and 30 points over their last 3 games. They are also coming off a bye so we expect a solid game plan vs a weak LAC defense. LA will put up points as well. QB Herbert has been outstanding throwing for at least 300 yards in 5 of his 9 starts with 22 TD’s and just 6 interceptions. He is facing a Buffalo pass defense that ranks 23rd in opponent completion percentage and 22nd in yards per pass attempt allowed. Herbert is possibly getting back one of his main offensive weapons with RB Ekeler coming off IR and may play on Sunday. The total points scored in the last 7 LA Charger games look like this - 69, 57, 68, 61, 57, 50, and 62 for an average of 60 PPG. All of those games went OVER the total. Buffalo is 8-2 to the OVER this season. The weather in Buffalo can be a concern at this time of year but Sunday’s forecast call for sun and high’s near 50 degrees. With the Bills favored by 4.5 in this game and the total at 52 & 52.5, the projected score is right around 28-24. We think both teams have a great shot to get into the 30’s and we’d be shocked if at last one of them didn’t hit 30. Take the OVER in this one.