#261 ASA FREE PLAY ON Tennessee +3.5 over Indianapolis, Sunday at 1:00 PM ET - These same two AFC South rivals recently squared off in Tennessee on a Thursday night prime time game with the Colts prevailing 34-17 as a 1-point favorite. Obviously, in these current times, home field really doesn’t equate to much other than travel so the move to minus -3 here is more of an adjustment than we expected. In the previous meeting the Titans were reeling a bit with losses in two of three games but are now coming off an emotionally lifting win over the Ravens. On the other hand, the Colts are off a very big win over the Packers, a game in which they trailed by 14-points going into the third quarter but rallied for the OT win. This is a HUGE game in deciding the AFC South with both teams 7-3 but the Colts holding the tie breaker with the head-to-head win a few weeks back. Even when trailing and in a losing effort the Titans still churned out 150+ rushing yards against the Colts in the first meeting which is an encouraging sign here. The big difference in the first meeting was a blocked punt for a TD by the Colts in the 3rd quarter. The biggest advantage the Titans have in this contest is the running game with Derrick Henry. Tennessee is 5th in rushing yards per game at 151 and average 4.8 yards per rush (7th). The Colts have the 3rd best rush defense in the NFL in terms of total yards as they allow just 89RYPG. But those numbers are somewhat misleading as they have only faced three top tier rushing teams this season and one of those games was against the Vikings who weren’t running the football early in the season. The other game the Colts played against a top rushing teams was versus Baltimore and they lost by two touchdowns. The Colts are a bottom tier rushing team which puts a lot of pressure on immobile QB Rivers who is 20th in the NFL in total quarterback ratings. They’ll be more depleted here with RB Taylor just put on the Covid list and will not play. Historical support shows us the visitor has covered 4 straight in this series. Also, since 2000, teams that meet within two weeks of their first meeting, the loser of the first clash is 17-7-1 ATS in the second showdown. We love the rushing angle and the dog playing with revenge. Play Tennessee.