ASA TOP PLAY 10* ON Over 49.5 Points – Green Bay @ San Francisco, Thursday at 8:15 PM ET - Green Bay will be without their top 3 RB’s for this game so we expect Aaron Rodgers to throw the ball a lot in this one. The Packers rank 3rd in the NFL in scoring and they’ve been held under 30 just twice all season. Last week vs Minnesota they only put up 22 points, however they put up 400 yards in that game but simply blew a number of chances. Their seasonal yards per point average is 12.6 which ranks them 6th in the NFL. If that is used to figure out what GB would normally score when gaining 400 yards it comes to 31 points. SF’s defense has solid overall numbers but they’ve faced 5 opponents ranked 24th or lower in scoring. The 3 solid offenses they’ve faced Miami, Seattle, & Arizona (all ranked in the top 11 in scoring) the SF defense allowed an average of 29 PPG. Green Bay will score here. San Francisco is without QB Garoppolo but we don’t feel back up Nick Mullens is a big downgrade. He came in last week and threw for 273 yards and led the Niners on TD drives on their final 3 offensive possessions. He’s already started 2 games this year and is completing over 70% of his passes so we think they’ll be fine. The San Fran running game, top 10 in both YPG & YPC, will keep them balanced and should have a nice day vs a GB defense that was ripped for 173 yards on the ground last week vs Minnesota. With this total set at 49.5, it’s actually a few points lower than the average scoring numbers in the NFL this year which is 51 PPG. The weather looks perfect on Thursday night and we like the OVER here.