#276/276 ASA TOP PLAY 10* ON Over 44 Points – LA Chargers @ Denver, Sunday at 4:25 PM ET - Denver only scored 16 points last week at home vs KC but they put up 411 total yards. Their offense actually pushed into KC territory on 7 of their offensive possessions. They were only able to come up with 1 TD in the game but had multiple chances to put more than 16 points on the board. Same situation a week earlier @ New England. The Broncos settled for SIX field goals in that game in an 18-12 win. Again they had lots of chances to put numbers on the board in that game as well. The point is, this offense is playing much better than what their final scores might indicate. We think the Denver offense breaks out this week vs a Chargers defense that has allowed 38, 30, and 29 points their last 3 games. Most concerning was last week as they allowed 29 points to a Jacksonville team that had scored 30 points total their previous 2 games vs Houston & Detroit, two below average defenses. The Charger offense has been on a tear under rookie QB Herbert. They have scored 31, 27, and 39 points their last 3 games including the first two scores vs Tampa & New Orleans who both rank in the top 7 in the NFL in total defense. Herbert has thrown for over 250 yards in every start this season and the Chargers are #1 in the NFL in 3rd down conversion rate. The Broncos defense is highly ranked but against the good offenses they’ve faced the scoring has been high. KC scored 43 last week in a snowstorm, Pittsburgh scored 26, and the Bucs put up 28. Even the Jets, the lowest scoring team in the NFL, had 28 points vs the Broncos so we have no doubt the Chargers will score here. Last week we had a snow storm in Denver, this Sunday calls for temps in the mid 60’s and light winds. Perfect weather. This total is currently sitting at 44.5 which is a low total for today’s NFL which averages right around 51 PPG. Take the OVER in Denver on Sunday.