ASA TOP PLAY 10* ON Run Line: Tampa Bay Rays (+1.5 runs) over Los Angeles Dodgers, Sunday at 8:08 PM ET

As we mentioned in previous analysis involving this World Series, the betting markets love the Dodgers. That makes sense too because they are, of course, a great team. But, at the same time, the Rays are very strong as well and yet don't get near the respect from the betting markets. Keep in mind the Dodgers have lost each of the last two times they have made it to the World Series and now the Dodgers are off an epic collapse in last night's Game 4 after they were 1 strike away from a 3-1 series lead. Yes, Clayton Kershaw was great in Game 1 but he has a history of World Series struggles and now the pressure is on the Dodgers after blowing last night's game. Yes, Tyler Glasnow struggled with his command in Game 1 but he is very likely to be much better in his 2nd World Series appearance after working out the jitters. Additionally, Glasnow did strike out 8 while giving up just 3 hits in that first appearance so it wasn't all bad! Also, the Rays are 11-7 in this post-season and 2 of those losses came by a single run. That means if you had the Rays +1.5 in all their post-season games you would be 13-5 for a 72% win rate. Our computer math model is reflecting great potential for an upset and, if Rays fall short, a tight loss. That being said, the value is with laying a very fair price to have the 1.5 runs on your side with underdog TB in this one. Keep in mind, last night's game would have been a one run loss for TB were it not for the winning Rays hit when they were down to their last strike. Again, value is big here with the +1.5 runs on your side. Bet the Tampa Bay Rays +1.5 runs in evening action Sunday.