ASA TOP PLAY 10* ON Run Line: Tampa Bay Rays (+1.5 runs) over Los Angeles Dodgers, Friday at 8:08 PM ET

As we mentioned in previous analysis involving this World Series, the betting markets love the Dodgers. That makes sense too because they are, of course, a great team. But, at the same time, the Rays are very strong as well and yet don't get near the respect from the betting markets. Keep in mind the Dodgers have lost each of the last two times they have made it to the World Series and now Walker Buehler gets the start here and he has been dealing with blister issues which has changed his repertoire of available pitches to an extent. Of course Tampa Bay is aware of this and plus they got some key hitters back on track in their resounding Game 2 win on Wednesday. Now on Friday the Rays turn to Charlie Morton on the mound and he has been fantastic in this post-season and in post-season appearances ever since he came to Tampa Bay. He is very undervalued in this spot. Also, the Rays are 10-6 in this post-season and 2 of those losses came by a single run. That means if you had the Rays +1.5 in all their post-season games you would be 12-4 for a 75% win rate. Our computer math model is reflecting great potential for an upset and, if Rays fall short, a tight loss. That being said, the value is with laying a very fair price to have the 1.5 runs on your side with underdog TB in this one. Bet the Tampa Bay Rays +1.5 runs in evening action Friday.