#470 ASA PLAY 8* ON Minnesota +3 over Tennessee, Sunday at 1:00 PM ET - Value again. If this game was played as the season opener in Minnesota, the Vikings would have been a favorite. Instead, just a few weeks in, they are getting nearly a FG. This is an absolute must win spot for Minnesota and we expect them to play well. In fact, teams that start the season 0-2 both SU & ATS are an impressive 56-36 ATS in week 2 dating back to 2003. That simply speaks to making sure you don’t overreact to one or two weeks in the NFL. We’re not. The Titans are 2-0 but won BOTH games on last second FG’s beating Denver by 2 and Jacksonville by 3. They are only a few plays away from sitting right where Minnesota is with an 0-2 record instead of 2-0. The Titans are undefeated despite losing the YPP battle in each game. Minnesota’s offense looked very good in week 1 vs Green Bay putting up nearly 8.0 YPP which was the best in the NFL that week. Last week they turned the ball over 3 times and averaged just 3.7 YPP at Indy. They were +3 in that game @ Indianapolis and now they are basically the same at home vs Tennessee. Their offense should look much better this week back in the US Bank dome. Defensively they’ve looked poor but we anticipate head coach Mike Zimmer, one of the top defensive minds in the NFL, to have them ready at home in this must win spot. Zimmer has been fantastic when playing at home off a SU loss with a PERFECT 11-0 ATS mark his last 11 in that situation. The Vikings have also been a money machine covering almost 70% of their home games over 5+ seasons with a 37-17-1 spread mark. We like Minnesota to get over the hump and win a tight one here so we’ll take the points.