Excerpt from my free game preview below: (https://winnersandwhiners.com/games/mlb/5-30-2024/houston-astros-vs-seattle-mariners-prediction-4291/)

Betting Trends: The under is a combined 63-40-6 in these teams' games this season. The under is 17-8-2 in Seattle's home games and 14-9-1 in Houston's road games. It's also 7-4 in Seattle's division games.

I expect the Astros to struggle mightily against Logan Gilbert, who has been locked in at home. His xERA (3.22) and actual ERA (3.06) indicate he's been a quality starting pitcher this season. He has won three straight starts versus Houston and boasts a 5-2 record with a 3.15 ERA in ten career outings versus the Astros. Once he exits, the Mariners' bullpen (1.16 WHIP) has the stuff to put away the visitors.

While Spencer Arrighetti could struggle, he's unlikely to get pounded. He has lasted at least five innings in all five May starts and held three of those opponents to seven total runs. Seattle may need to score an extra run against the Astros' pen (22 HR allowed) to cover the run line.