Philly SP Aaron Nola (4-1 with a 3.20 ERA and 26 Ks in his last three starts) has been much better at home (3.22 ERA and 10.7 K/9 rate) vs. on the road during his career (4.20 ERA and 9.3 K/9 rate) and faces a Giants lineup lacking star power. Behind Nola is a completely rested Phillies bullpen, as they had yesterday off.

Philadelphia's lineup is statistically elite and has helped spur the Phils to a 13-3 record in their last 16 games. After a successful ten-day road trip, they're back home to take on a 15-17 SF team that lacks home run power (20th in HRs) and scoring production (20th in runs). Former reliever turned starter Jordan Hicks has been solid, but the Giants' bullpen (29th in ERA) used its best arms yesterday with Ryan Walker, Tyler Rogers, and Camilo Doval all pitching Thursday.

The advantages stack up in favor of Philadelphia. Bet the Phillies ML.