I wouldn't mind laying the points at 2.5, but with the line at 3, I'm going to take on extra juice to bet the Orlando ML.

Houston has mathematically been eliminated from the postseason, while Orlando has to fight to keep the three-seed, as a poor finish could result in it not hosting a playoff series. Incentive aside, the Magic are the better squad. They're a great defensive team, ranking third in adjusted defensive rating, and they're going to be a headache for whoever they play in the postseason.

Orlando is 9-2 SU as road favorites and Houston is 11-11 SU as home underdogs this season. The Rockets were red hot in March, but their run has come to an end. Bet on the better, more motivated team to win tonight in H-Town.