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Betting Trend: The under is 22-14 in Duke's last 36 games (+6.60 Units / 17% ROI) and 15-7 in Arizona's last 22 home games (+7.35 Units / 30% ROI).

The Wildcats are a high-tempo team, but are they reliable enough to make the most of their possessions against the elite Duke defense (2nd in defensive efficiency)? Without a significant rebounding advantage, they may struggle to score if they can't get to the line a ton. The Blue Devils are top-50 in personal fouls and will be well-prepped on the Wildcats' high free-throw rate heading into this matchup. I just don't see Arizona finding its footing around the basket (UA has only attempted six putbacks in three games).

Duke is a great pick to win straight-up tomorrow, but I don't anticipate the visitors getting too hot against a motivated Wildcats squad. The Blue Devils have three frosh playing significant minutes and won't attempt to push the home team into a shootout on the road. They are much more average-paced (151st in adjusted tempo) than Arizona, and with neither team likely to dominate on the boards, the possession count should be fairly even.