Betting Trend: West Virginia HC Neal Brown is 6-12 ATS (33.3%) as a home underdog, including 0-3 this season.

The Bears are rolling heading into this game (three straight wins and are coming off a bye). They will be eager to get their sixth win for bowl eligibility, too. They match up well against a Mountaineers team that runs the football on 59.5 percent of their plays, the 20th-highest run rate in the nation. Baylor ranks in the top 10 nationally in Rush Success Rate, allowing only 3.8 yards per attempt. While the Bears' secondary can be exploited, I don't trust the WVU passing game (98th in passing yards) to take advantage, especially with several of their WRs hampered by injuries.

On offense, Baylor has found more success on the ground recently and its passing game should find success against a Mountaineers secondary ranked 130th in coverage and 133rd in EPA per Pass. It should be able to move the football consistently, winning and covering as 2.5-point road favorites!