In his last start against NY, Miles Mikolas gave up six runs on eight hits (one HR) with just one strikeout in six innings. He's allowed five-plus runs seven times this season. The Cardinals' bullpen is bottom-ten in ERA (4.40) and WHIP (1.40), too.

In his last start against STL, Kodai Senga surrendered four runs on five hits and two home runs in 6.2 innings. He's given up nine walks in his last four starts, as well. The Mets' bullpen is also bottom-ten in ERA (4.52).

NY has won four of five heading into Friday night's game, scoring six runs per game during that stretch. It's hitting better away from Citi Field this season, as well. St. Louis averages 4.8 runs at Busch Stadium and is hitting better post-All-Star weekend (.271 BA/.344 OBP/.458 SLG/.802 OPS) than it during the first half of the year (.254/.328/.426/.754), scoring 4.7 runs per contest.

The over is my bet on the total at 8.5 runs scored in Saturday's NYM-STL matchup.