NY is hitting .220 BA/.305 OBP/.362 SLG/.667 OPS, even after its recent winning streak, scoring 3.4 runs per game. Adam Wainwright has not been impressive recently, but he's a veteran pitcher who isn't going to struggle down the stretch without putting up a fight. He picked up a win against New York earlier this season, as well, holding the Mets to three runs in 6.1 innings. On the other side, Mets starter José Quintana has been nothing short of dependable since making his return to the mound in late June, giving up ten runs in five starts (29.1 IP).

While I'm predicting a NY ML victory Thursday, the over is too rich for my taste at 11 runs.