Baltimore vs. Minnesota (Under 8.5)
(MLB) Baltimore vs. Minnesota,
Total: 8.50 | -110.00 Under
Result: Win
The under is 6-1 in the Twins' last seven vs. a team with a winning record and 4-1 in their last five games vs. a starter with a WHIP of less than 1.15. It's 9-4 in Minnesota's last 13 overall.

The under is 5-1 in the Orioles' last six Saturday games and 4-1 in the Twins' last five Saturday games.

I'm betting on the under in tomorrow afternoon's Orioles-Twins game. Minnesota averaged just 3.5 runs per game in June, and Wells has held 12 of his 17 opponents to two or fewer earned runs. He's allowed more than three earned runs just three times this season. I don't expect the Twins' bottom-ten scoring offense to change its colors tomorrow by breaking out against the O's starter.

While I'm predicting a Baltimore victory, I don't believe they'll run up the score. Gray just held them to two hits and zero runs in a dominant performance and he's held all 17 of his opponents to three or fewer runs this year. Nine of those teams scored one run or were held scoreless, too. Once these starters exit, the bullpens — Minny has the 5th-lowest ERA and Baltimore is 10th — will continue to limit the scoring.

Bet on the under at 8.5!