The Pirates have been fading and are counting on an inexperienced starter (six career games) who lasted only three innings in his last start and has lost both of his outings this season. The Rangers are leading the AL West and are turning to a starter who has dominated since moving to the starting rotation, holding his three opponents to three runs total in 17 IP with 12 Ks and 2 BBs. I've liked what I've seen from Dunning and have bet on him successfully in the past.

The Pirates are 0-7 in their last seven interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record and 0-5 in Ortiz's last 5 starts. They're also 4-17 in their last 21 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 and 2-11 in their last 13 games vs. a right-handed starter.

The Rangers are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter, 13-6 in their last 19 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30, and 10-4 in their last 14 games overall.

I'm betting on Texas at -131 tomorrow evening, and you should too!