Boston is dominating this series so far, and I don't predict that will change tomorrow in Atlanta. The Hawks' defense is a joke, and Boston's is superb. Atlanta's roster is not built to beat teams like Boston, lacking the interior presence to make this competitive. In game two, they surrendered 64 points in the paint. The offense has been pathetic, too, shooting 5-for-29 (17.2%) from three in game one and 16-for-48 in game two. Ice Trae has been a problem, shooting 35% from the field and 23.1% from beyond the arc with 10 turnovers. He has the worst plus/minus among all players at -32.

The five-point spread is closer than the previous two matchups, and I feel the Hawks are getting too much respect. Why should game three be any closer than the first two? The Celtics are 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings between these teams and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Hawks are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS loss.

Bet on the visitors to win and cover on Friday night.