Pittsburgh won a game last week by scoring field goals only and no touchdowns. This seems like a sell high spot on Pittsburgh and taking the Browns at home in this divisional game has value. This season, home teams have gone 8-3 ATS at home on Thursday Night Football. The Browns are 2-0 ATS on TNF in the last two seasons. Pittsburgh is 3-8 ATS on the road on Thursday nights since 1992 and this is also a short week for the Steelers. Jameis Winston should play better in this game as he has improved each week and did play well last week despite the outcome. Pittsburgh is 1-4 straight up in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland. Cleveland has a good track record on Thursdays as they have won their last six in a row.

Best bet: take the points with Cleveland.