The Chiefs should keep this game close as they seem to be winning games with their great defensive play as opposed to their offense. The Chiefs are getting back JuJu Smith-Schuster, Valdes-Scantling and Kadarius Toney. Buffalo comes into this game with some injuries as they will still be without Kincaid, Coleman and others on offense. This game will be a much closer game and will be won in the trenches. KC is 6-0 ATS as a road underdog and they are 2-0 ATS after 3 or more consecutive losses against the spread, in the last two seasons. Since the Chiefs have found themselves in more one score games where they are pulling out the wins, they are 8-1 on the road in games where the line is +3 to -3. The Bills are 2-8 ATS at home, after 3 or more consecutive wins in the last two seasons. Kansas City is 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games played on a Sunday when playing on the road. Buffalo is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City. This will be a close game probably coming down to the last play so getting any points has value.

Best bet: take the points with Kansas City.