This will be a competitive game and Ball State has had success in the past against Buffalo, winning four of their last five meetings, and beating them in the last MAC conference title matchup between these two. Ball State is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against Buffalo and they are 5-1 straight up in their last 6 games against Buffalo. Buffalo is also 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games played in week 12. This is a MAC game and these are usually tight games and Ball State has a knack of keeping games close in what will be a field goal game. Ball State will be able to move the ball on the Bulls defense and they will put up a fight in this game. There is value in taking the points.

Best bet: take the points with Ball State.