Baker threw a few interceptions last week and the Chiefs will have a field day if he continues the poor play in this game. The Chiefs defense is allowing just 246 yards per game, and 15 or less points per game to oppenents, and are allowing just 82 rush yards per game. This game is the game the Bucs really miss their WR’s and where the Chiefs hold them to a lower score as the injuries continue to mount for Tampa Bay, as this will be one of the better defenses that the Bucs see all season and they will shut down the Bucs run game. The Bucs defense has some holes and they will struggle to slow down the Chiefs offense. Tampa Bay is 1-4 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse in the last two seasons. KC is 12-3 ATS in non-conference games in the last two seasons. Mahomes is 8-3 straight up on Monday Night football. Their last three meetings were all played in Tampa Bay, but the game switches to Arrowhead this time. Kansas City is 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 games.

Best bet: lay the points with Kansas City.