The Broncos have one of the best defenses that Baltimore will see. Bo has been playing better and the team is putting up more offense as each week passes by. Double digits dogs have done well this season in the NFL and they are 21-12 ATS so far and teams are also 7-0 ATS within that number, when the underdog is off an ATS win and cover in the previous week. Lamar Jackson is also listed as questionable for this game but should play. Baltimore has that explosive offense but teams have been shredding the Ravens secondary, allowing teams to come back into games, and allowing teams to be competitive with a chance to win. Denver is 3-0 ATS versus bad defensive teams who give up 24 or more points per game. Baltimore’s secondary gave up 334 pass yards last week to Cleveland and they still have key injuries and players out in their secondary. This is also a look ahead spot for the Ravens who have the Bengals on deck Thursday night. Denver’s defense is good enough to keep them in this game, while Bo is good enough to sling it on this team and cover this too big spread. Lamar is just 2-11-1 ATS when the spread is 7 points or more and the team is 1-10 ATS when they are favorites of seven or more points since 2021. Denver is 3-0 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points on the road. Denver also 4-0 ATS after allowing 14 points or less last game. Baltimore is 6-10 ATS off an upset loss as a road favorite when back at home.

Best bet: take the points with Denver.