The Mavericks are at home and have impressed so far this season. They are winning games in spots they shouldn’t and they are playing with a chip on their shoulder. Houston is a good team but they will be outplayed in this game. Luka had 41 points against the Rockets the last time they played and he will go off again. Houston is 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games against Dallas and Dallas is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against an opponent in the Southwest division. Houston is 22-41 ATS as a road underdog. Dallas has also won the last four meetings between the two.

Best bet: lay the points with Dallas.