FIU’s offense has been inconsistent in their last few games and they are holding opponents to 20.3 points at home this season, while they themselves have only managed 23 points of offense on average per game. Both will want to run the ball with long drives and chew up the clock which helps with the total staying Under. With Jenkins back off a shoulder injury, it’s unclear how effective he will be or not be. NMST is 0-3 to the Under off a bye week and after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins they are 3-7 to the Under. NMST on offense ranks 133rd in EPA per play and they haven’t scored more than 13 points on the road. They play much better at home so this game should stay under the total as both struggle with their offense.

Best bet: take the Under the Total.