Tampa is getting healthier on defense and they are playing with revenge after losing their earlier matchup in overtime to the Falcons. At home in this spot, Baker is resilient and they will rely on the next man up mentality to get their revenge in this one despite being without Godwin and Evans. Atlanta enters this game off a loss but they are 7-14 ATS as favorites and 0-4 ATS after a loss by 14 or more points. Tampa Bay is 3-1 ATS avenging a same season loss against an opponent and 2-0 ATS when they do it at home in the last two seasons. Tampa Bay is also 13-7 ATS in their last 20 games while the Falcons struggle as they only covered four of their last 12 games. The Bucs have circled this game and know they have to defeat the Falcons if they want to win the division again.

Best bet: take the points with Tampa Bay.