This is a long standing rivalry and Michigan State is playing with revenge. They looked impressive in their win over Iowa, holding them to 20 points so the Spartans have played a stingy defensive team and are battle tested by playing the tougher schedule. They have the better QB in Aiden Chiles who should play a better game by cleaning up some of the turnovers. Tuttle for Michigan did not look that good offensively, and Michigan is prone to turning over the ball as well with all three quarterbacks, however, this team only knows one thing, and that is to run the ball. Michigan is 119th in total offense and they will find it hard to move the ball on the Spartans who also have a good run defense that can stop them because that is what Michigan State does well on defense. They could very well upset Michigan in this spot like they upset Iowa so they are very live in this game. This game is going to be a lower scoring rock fight so getting any points in this game is where the value lies. Michigan State is playing with revenge as they have lost the last two matchups and they are 6-0-1 ATS when playing with double revenge.

Best bet: take the points with Michigan State.