Wheeler has pitched excellently this season and has a great record versus the Brewers with a strikeout rate at 32%. The last time he pitched against them, he shut down the Brewers and the Phillies won 3-1. They go up against Montas who pitched a great game in his last start but he has to carry over that performance to a tough Phillies lineup that can explode offensively, and who have improved against right handed pitchers in the month of August. Montas still has an ERA of 4.49 and a WHIP of 1.34 at home and he is prone to walking batters. Both bullpens are decent and cancel out each other so the edge has to go to the Phillies with the better pitcher and lineup. The Phillies are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Philadelphia has hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 22 games and they have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 9 road games.

Best bet: take Philadelphia on the moneyline (ML).