Baker had a great game last week but now his passing game is going to be much more difficult to execute as the Lions can defend the pass rush and are tops in the league. They are also dealing with a lot of injuries, especially in their secondary and that will hurt them in this game as they won’t be able to cover the Lions and they won’t be able to keep up the offense. The Bucs also struggled against the run last week and Detroit will be able to exploit that. Detroit is the more balanced team and they are going to go off in this game. The Buccaneers are 4-12 against the spread in their last 16 meetings with Detroit. The favorite is 5-0 against the spread in their last 5 meetings. Detroit is 7-1 against the spread in their last 8 games.

Best bet: lay the points with Detroit.